August 11, 2025
The AI Race Pushes Big Tech’s 2025 Capex to a Record $344 Billion

The artificial intelligence boom is fueling unprecedented spending by the world’s largest technology companies, with Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Meta collectively set to pour more than $344 billion into capital expenditures this year. Much of that capital is earmarked for data centers, the critical infrastructure powering the next generation of AI models.

Billions Flowing Into AI Infrastructure

According to Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Mandeep Singh, cloud investment has “basically tripled” due to AI, with executives united in their urgency: invest fast or risk falling behind.

  • Microsoft: Set a record $24.2 billion in capex last quarter and plans to spend up to $30 billion this quarter.
  • Amazon: Spent $31.4 billion last quarter—nearly double the prior year—and intends to maintain that pace.
  • Alphabet (Google): Raised 2025 capex guidance to $85 billion, with more to come in 2026.
  • Meta: Increased its 2025 forecast and warned spending will grow even faster next year.

The combined Q2 capex for these companies hit $89 billion, an extraordinary figure even in the context of Big Tech’s scale.

Winners and Losers on Wall Street

The market reaction has been mixed.

  • Meta’s shares surged 8% after reporting a strong Q2 revenue beat and crediting AI for improving ad targeting efficiency. CEO Mark Zuckerberg outlined aggressive plans for new data centers, top-tier AI talent acquisitions, and the development of human-level AI via Meta Superintelligence Labs.
  • Microsoft tied its AI investment to a 39% jump in Azure cloud sales, with CEO Satya Nadella declaring the company “continues to lead the AI infrastructure wave.” Analysts praised the strong ROI—at least for now.
  • Google is following suit, with CEO Sundar Pichai admitting the company is in a “tight supply environment” and must expand to meet customer demand. Analysts see its spending as a defensive necessity to keep pace with OpenAI-driven competition.
  • Amazon, however, disappointed. Its cloud growth lagged behind rivals despite heavy AI-related capex, sending its stock down more than 8% after earnings. Analysts warn operating margins will remain under pressure through 2026.

Apple Joins the Race—Cautiously

Apple’s spending, while smaller, is accelerating. The company has invested $9.47 billion in property, plant, and equipment over the first nine months of 2025—up 45% year-over-year—linking much of the growth to AI development. CFO Kevan Parekh emphasized steady, not exponential, expansion.

Why This Matters

The AI infrastructure race is shaping up as one of the most expensive technological shifts in history. From massive GPU clusters to advanced cooling systems, the push is driven by an urgent need to dominate the next wave of AI applications.

But the question looms: Will customers see enough value from AI to justify the massive capital outlays? Analysts say that if ROI disappoints, 2026 could bring a spending slowdown. For now, though, the momentum—and the money—keeps accelerating.